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CrisisWatch No. 3, 1 November 2003

TRENDS AND WATCHLIST SUMMARY

OCTOBER 2003 TRENDS

Deteriorated Situations
Azerbaijan, Bolivia, Burkina Faso, Colombia, Côte d’Ivoire, Ethiopia/Eritrea, Iraq, Israel/Occupied Territories, Nepal, Syria, Uganda, Zimbabwe.

Improved Situations

Burundi, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Iran, Maldives, North Korea, Saudi Arabia, Solomon Islands, Sudan.

Unchanged Situations

Afghanistan, Algeria, Angola, Central African Republic, China (internal), Corsica, Cyprus, Democratic Republic of Congo, Ecuador, Egypt, Georgia, Guatemala, Guinea, Honduras, India (non-Kashmir), Indonesia, Jordan, Kashmir, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, Kyrgyzstan, Lebanon, Macedonia, Mauritania, Moldova, Morocco, Myanmar (Burma), Nagorno-Karabakh, Niger, Nigeria, Northern Ireland, Pakistan, Papua New Guinea, Peru, Philippines, Russia (Chechnya), Rwanda, Serbia, Sierra Leone, Somalia, Spain (Basque region), Sri Lanka, Swaziland, Taiwan Strait, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Venezuela, Western Sahara, Yemen.

NOVEMBER 2003 WATCHLIST

Conflict Risk Alert

Côte d’Ivoire, Ecuador, Ethiopia/Eritrea, Israel/Occupied Territories.

Conflict Resolution Opportunity

Iran, North Korea, Sudan.



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