TRENDS AND WATCHLIST SUMMARY
AUGUST TRENDS
Deteriorated Situations
Cote D'Ivoire, India (non-Kashmir), Indonesia, Iraq, Israel/Occupied Territories, Kosovo, Lebanon, Macedonia, Nepal, Nigeria, Serbia, Somalia, Zimbabwe.
Improved Situations
Burundi, Democratic Republic of Congo, Liberia, Moldova, Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands.
UNCHANGED SITUATIONS
Current Conflicts
Afghanistan, Colombia, Kashmir, Sudan, Russia (Chechnya), Uganda.
Potential Conflicts:
Algeria, Angola, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Central African Republic, Ecuador, Egypt, Ethiopia/Eritrea, Georgia, Guatemala, Guinea, Jordan, Iran, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Mauritania, Montenegro, Morocco, Myanmar (Burma), Nagorno-Karabakh, North Korea, Pakistan, Peru, Philippines, Rwanda, Saudi Arabia, Sao Tome and Principe, Sri Lanka, Syria, Taiwan Strait, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Venezuela, Yemen, Zambia.
SEPTEMBER WATCHLIST
Conflict Risk Alert
Cote D’Ivoire Ethiopia/Eritrea, Israel/Occupied Territories, Iraq, Nepal, North Korea, Sudan.
Conflict Resolution Opportunity
Burundi, Ethiopia/Eritrea, Iraq, North Korea, Sudan.
